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John T. Reed’s news blog

You are on your own. The government is risking your economy.

Posted by John T. Reed on

On TV and in one-on-one conversations, I keep hearing stuff along the lines of this is a “great country” so nothing really bad is about to happen. . The covid 19 shutdown closed more of the economy than the Great Depression did at its peak. . Fact. . This “great country” stuff, in contrast, is Easter Bunnyish. . The federal government took the pop of a stock market bubble in 1929 and turned it into a decade-long Great Depression through overly tight money and all sorts of nutty government experiments on business and programs like the CCC. Absent government getting...

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Stop worrying about yield and start worrying about principal safety with your investments

Posted by John T. Reed on

Here is a haunting passage from general practitioner lawyer Benjamin Roth’s Depression Diary. He wrote it on February 7, 1933..“In numerous talks with businessmen I find a higher valuation than ever placed on ‘financial security’ and ‘freedom from want.’ During the boom of 1928 businessmen scorned to leave their money in safe investments yielding only 4% or 5%.”.Four years later he wrote,.“A major risk should not be taken for a minor profit.”.The two great financial investment risks are inflation and deflation. Tremendous financial catastrophes occurred in the Great Depression (deflation) from 1929 until WW II and in the hyperinflation in...

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Savings bonds and forever stamps in hyperinflation

Posted by John T. Reed on

I completed my redemption of all our EE savings bonds. I also rescued $1,000 in cash that my wife had in our safe deposit box. . Again, if we tip over into hyperinflation, dollar-denominated assets like cash become worthless quickly. Savings bonds, which took a week of my time to redeem, would have been worth a little the first day, but nothing after a week. But we did not tip over into hyperinflation while I was doing it. . I put the money into a Schwab 1000 index fund and TC REX, which is a TIAA CREF REIT index fund...

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When you have foreign bank accounts, you must file IRS Form 8939 and Fin Cen Form 114 annually

Posted by John T. Reed on

We do not have capital controls. They are banana republic, dictator laws, but we will get them shortly after we get hyperinflation, if we get it..But we do have some laws designed to harass those of us who do what capital controls would ban: hold foreign accounts. We are required to submit IRS Form 8938 (https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-prior/i8938--2019.pdf) and Fin Cen Form 114 (https://bsaefiling.fincen.treas.gov/NoRegFBARFiler.html) annually as punishment for having foreign accounts. Having such accounts is legal, but the would-be, banana-republic dictators in the Deep State wish they were illegal. No tax is due except on interest you earn on foreign accounts..Form 8938...

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American are looking up at an avalanche waiting to happen and denying it is possible

Posted by John T. Reed on

Mark Levin and I are the only ones beating the watch-out-for-inflation drum. Tonight he showed a clip of Milton Friedman warning against government deficit spending that causes inflation. I sent Mark a copy of my novel in 2016 (it has a hyperinflation episode) and I sent him and others a news release on my inflation book a week or two ago. But I have never heard from him. . It’s not like he and I could change the nation’s course. That is what HE is trying to do. I see MY role as to help each individual avoid being stepped on...

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