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Australia election the latest evidence that there are a lot more ‘deplorables’ in the world than the Left think

Posted by John T. Reed on

The Australia election Saturday is yet another voting-booth indicator that the elite, establishment, media and politicians WAY OVERestimate the percentage of the voters who agree with them and WAY UNDERestimate the percentage of voters who like people who, and things that, appall the establishment.
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The Australia pundits and establishment predicted the Australia left was going to win the 2019 federal elections with the usual program of green energy, stop climate change, tax the rich, increased regulation.
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They did not.
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This seems of a piece with:
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• Trump’s election in 2016
• Brexit also in 2016
• Republican retention of the Senate in 2018
• various elections in Europe in recent years
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The deplorables are intimidated when it comes to admitting aversion to immigration, climate change expenses and regulations, tax increases to pollsters.
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But all democracies feature the secret ballot. And when they get into the privacy of the voting booth, they often manifest greater aversion to immigration, minorities, deviance as it used to be defined, than they admit to in public. And less aversion to boorish candidates.
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This was called the “Bradley Effect” when first observed in CA in 1982.
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Tom Bradley, the black mayor of Los Angeles, ran for governor of CA then. All the polls and pundits said he was going to win.
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He did not. Republican George Deukmejian won 49% to 48%.
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Wikipedia says,
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“The Bradley effect posits that the inaccurate polls were skewed by the phenomenon of social desirability bias.[7][8] Specifically, some voters give inaccurate polling responses for fear that, by stating their true preference, they will open themselves to criticism of racial motivation.”
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So the liberals may be winning the battle of the airwaves, but common sense is winning the larger and more meaningful war in the privacy of the voting booth. People are intimidated out of admitting they like Trump, don’t believe money should be spent stopping climate change, or want tax increases. They are intimidated out of putting Trump signs on their lawns or bumpers. But they are not intimidated out of voting those preferences in the privacy of the voting booth. Fundamentally, winning the media, pollster phone call venue debate is irrelevant. Elections have consequences; polls, not so much.
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Trump haters think there is no limit on their hatred of Trump or their harassment of him. They will not let up for a second. Hit him again, harder, harder!
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But there ARE limits. The public has long since started tuning out the shriller-by-the-minute cries of “wolf” about Trump. The independents may even be getting more sympathetic to the target of the most horrific media and opposing party onslaught: Donald Trump.
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The liberal Trump haters remind me of Republican 1964 presidential candidate Barry Goldwater. He was accused of being an extremist by Lyndon Johnson and it worked for Democrat President Lyndon Johnson who won the election 486 to 52. Goldwater put the cherry on top of the extremist cake with his infamous statement:
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‘In accepting his nomination, Goldwater uttered his most famous phrase...: 
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"I would remind you that extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice. And let me remind you also that moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue." 
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For many GOP moderates, Goldwater's speech was seen as a deliberate insult, and many of these moderates would defect to the Democrats in the fall election.’ Wikipedia
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Today’s Dems feel that extremism in pursuit of Trump is no vice. They think it is impossible to hate Trump enough. Then they will denounce Republicans as the party of hate!?


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