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Copyright by John T. Reed
In the run-up to the 2008 presidential election, people on both sides have, I believe, overstated or understated what the effect of an Obama victory would be.
The overstatements have been both bad and good. Obama’s own statements, and those of his cult followers, about how much better off America would be if he were elected were total bullshit. He apparently agrees because he is in a big hurry to back off them and lower expectations. A wise move, but one that is only made necessary by the standard deceit of the politician class in general and by his own extreme promise them anything to get elected approach to win at all costs.
I think the only thing he really meant by “change” was the complexion of the father of the president. Mission accomplished. I am sure that is a big change to him and to most blacks, but it is not the sort of change that was implied in all the discussions of “policy” and “the issues” that the various candidates kept saying they wanted the campaign to be about.
I do not believe Obama was ever much interested in the issues. I think he just wanted to be the world’s biggest big shot.
I don’t think that differentiates him from many others like the Clintons. But it does differentiate him from a few like Reagan who really believe in certain policies and was eager to enact and execute them.
The extreme bad predictions—most typically coming from Sean Hannity—were also exaggerated.
Is Obama a radical socialist? If he thought he could get away with it, yes. But I am reminded of the most memorable line from the recent movie The Express about the first black to win the Heisman Trophy: Ernie Davis. One of his black teammates explained that [Syracuse head football coach Ben Schwartzwalder], “Likes winning more than he dislikes Negroes.”
I suspect Obama likes being reelected more than he likes radical socialism. He seems to have been smart about subordinating his ideology to his ambition during the campaign. We must hope he is similarly smart about subordinating that ideology to his ambition when the leftists in Congress try to get his signature on leftist legislation like ending secret ballots in union elections.
America may like “change” in the abstract, but they sure as hell will not like “change” if he starts filling in that blank with things like ending secret union ballots. A landslide usually means a mandate, but if you campaign on an abstraction like change, then you have no mandate to do anything specific.
Hannity said Obama will run up the white flag in Iraq. If I were the one just elected president, I would consult with appropriate people then tell the Iraqis that we will leave ASAP in accordance with the expiration of our UN mandate to be there and the inability of the Iraqis to agree to an acceptable to the US forces agreement. If the Hannity’s of the world want to call that surrender, let them. Adults do not make life-and-death policy based on whether “one of the other kids” will call them “chicken.”
The Iraq and Afghan wars appear to me to be endless and extremely costly financially and in American blood. I do not believe the American people want to continue and I also believe that wars are something that the American people, not the president or even the Congress decide.
With regard to the economic situation, Obama needs to heed the Clintons. On election night, one Fox pundit said Obama’s economic advisers were generally Clinton advisers, like Clinton Secretary of the Treasury Robert Rubin. Great! Bill Clinton knew that the main determinant of whether he got re-elected was the economy. So he listened carefully to those advisers and did what they said. Clinton aide James Carville was very frustrated and angry about it. He wanted to beat up on business and make ideology law. Clinton wanted to get re-elected. He did.
The current financial crisis is so great and unprecedented that no group of advisers may know what to do. But they probably know what NOT to do, namely keep the various demagogue promises Obama made during the campaign like punishing Wall Street and big corporations and U.S. oil companies and raising capital gains taxes and income taxes on wealthy Americans.
Obama’s trickle-down demagoguery neglected to mention that what he calls trickle-down—an ancient leftist cliche—is without doubt the best economic system in the world because of the incentives it gives to suppliers of capital, risk takers, entrepreneurs, and workers. In the movie Wall Street, character Gordon Gecko said, evilly, “Greed, for the want of a better word, is good.” ABC TV investigative reporter John Stossel, an American treasure, did a one-hour special called “Greed is good” where he proved that the incentive to make money—sometimes lots of money—is what made Americans, including low-level workers, the richest people on earth.
There is no greed in Cuba. Nor are their many Americans trying to move there, other than propagandist Michael Moore. If you want no greed, move to Cuba. If Obama does what he said in the campaign with regard to economic policy, and gets Congress to agree, we will all be moving to Cuba—without moving. If he is as smart as his supporters say, and as lacking in character as I say, he will renege on all that campaign rhetoric and encourage American business and workers to use free enterprise opportunities to improve their own lives and thereby the lives of all Americans.
Obama and others keep saying this could only happen in America. Not true. It happened in Peru. Alberto Fujimori, a Japanese man, was elected president.
It also happened in South Africa. Americans tend to think of all of Africa as black. Not so. There are Arab countries like Egypt in the north of Africa and two white countries: the former Rhodesia and the former South Africa. Nelson Mandela, a black man, was imprisoned by the white Afrikaner government of South Africa, which prohibited blacks from voting. He later became president of the country.
Those two ascensions were arguably more stunning than the election of Obama as president of the U.S. And I suspect some readers will point out other such elections to me in the future.
I have said before and, after seeing the 100,000 people celebration in Grant Park, will say again, Obama appears to be a megalomaniac.
Evidence?
The Grant Park celebration. When I was a freshman in high school in 1960, John F. Kennedy won the presidential election. He was the first Catholic and the first Irish president. Catholics and Irish thought they’d never see the day. My Irish grandmother told me there were signs in the U.S. in the early 20th century saying “Help wanted—No Irish need apply” and “Irish and dogs keep off the grass.” Many Protestant ministers said Kennedy would be loyal to the Pope rather than the Constitution. So there were a lot of parallels to Obama, but Kennedy received the election results at his family’s compound in Hyannisport, MA not in front of a crowd of 100,000. George Bush received the 2000 election results in the Texas governor’s mansion. I recall no other president elect who spoke to a crowd of 100,000 on election night. Some may say that’s because no other candidate could draw such a crowd. Bull! They probably all could if they picked the right venue and part of the country. Kennedy, for example, could have received the results on the Boston Common.
Obama also sought a huge crowd for his nomination acceptance speech (Kennedy also delivered that speech in a stadium) and he wanted the Brandenburg gate for his Berlin speech. I guess we should be mildly encouraged that Obama did not request the Nuremberg stadium where Adolf Hitler held his mind-bogglingly huge rallies. There were a number of other venues where he spoke to 100,000 or thereabouts.
He also named his campaign plane Obama One, designed a presidential-like Obama seal, met with foreign leaders and held a press conference with one, referred to “when I was a Senator” during the campaign.
Hitler saw himself as leader of the world not just Germany. Obama, also is fond of references to a world united under his leadership.
His own wife described him as over-confident of his abilities to do anything. That is what it seems like from afar as well.
A friend and other readers have urged me not to compare Obama to Hitler because it’s too extreme.
One guy said I could not compare Obama to Hitler because the Nazi leader was a mass murderer. My position on it is not that Obama is Hitler but that he exhibits some disquieting similarities with Hitler.
Obama is not a murderer, mass or otherwise. Nor do I see any indications that he will become a mass murderer.
If I believe that Hitler exhibits some disquieting similarities with Hitler, but do not mention it for fear it will cost me popularity with the public, I am turning into a politician. I hate politicians.
If I believe Obama is behaving similar to Hitler, I have a duty as a citizen to point it out. Behaving like Hitler is a serious dangerous sign that should be known by all as soon as possible. Most of all, Obama and his inner circle need to know about it so he will recognize he is drifting off in the wrong direction and knock it off.
You can be dishonest by silence. If I write a ton about Obama, and do not mention his Hitlerian similarities even though I recognize and believe them, I am being dishonest. I do not like dishonest people either. My lifelong reputation is of a guy who says what he thinks, tells it like it is, and does not pull his punches to be popular. If I start shading my comments to leave out pertinent, but unpopular, things I believe, I am no longer me. Not gonna happen. My doctor’s receptionist was talking to me and commented that I did “not have a filter.” Correct, and I’m not going to get one. Politicians have filters.
There does need to be a change with regard to my pointing out the similarities between Obama and Hitler, but the change does not need to happen at the Web site. It needs to happen at the White House. I will change my accusations that Obama is behaving, in part, like Hitler when he changes that underlying facts, that is, stops imitating Hitler.
In his 2/27/09 newspaper columnist and economist Thomas Sowell compared Obama to Hitler with regard to the statement that Obama is pragmatic. So was Hitler, Sowell says. He did it again with regard to eqloquent speaking ability in his 3/6/09 column. For those who accuse anyone who criticizes Obama of racism, Sowell is black.
I am also an excellent public speaker (according to written evaluations, votes, etc.), when I bestir myself to prepare and make such a presentation, albeit not one who draws such large crowds. I noticed when I first did it that it was intoxicating. The audience reaction both during and after the talk can make you think you are king of the world. The audience reacts more favorably to some aspects of the speech than others and there is a resulting powerful temptation to expand those parts and shrink the other parts, at the expense of truth and relationship of the content speech to the real world the speech is supposedly about.
In my case, I was scared by those feelings because I knew it was bull. One clue was I also got written evaluations from the audience and a few would usually be negative. But if you do not get the written evaluations, you only hear from the adoring members of the crowd thereby getting an exaggerated picture of your own wonderfulness.
My reaction to the intoxication of public speaking was to avoid doing it and to remind myself when the audience started acting that way that it was just speech-audience syndrome. I strained not to expand the well-received portions beyond the time they deserved. Sometimes, I deliberately try to break the spell when I sense audiences getting like that by making some statement that is designed to remind them I am just another guy.
I have heard the late Hall of Fame coach Bill Walsh speak a number of times. Once, the introduction of him by the host was saint-like. It emphasized that he was not like those other coaches who yell. Bill, the introducer said, was a “teacher.” Then Bill himself said, “Yes, my coaches were yelling one day so I gathered them around me and told them to teach, just fucking teach.” In other words, he de-canonized himself then gave a man-to-man, down-to-earth coaching clinic.
But I noticed that my fellow real estate investment speakers seemed addicted to the intoxication and feeling of power and that their speeches moved more and more in a demagogic direction over time. They did embellish the parts that were well-received—to the point where their speeches contained nothing else and no longer bore any resemblance to the reality of real estate investing. Barack Obama is one of them, not someone who keeps it real like Bill Walsh and I did.
Obama is addicted to the intoxication and believes it’s real. Like the guys called “grandstand players” in sports, he tells the crowd whatever it wants to elicit the greatest favorable to him reaction. Addiction is dangerous. Believing audience adulation accurately measures your worth as a human is very dumb and also dangerous. Pandering and tell people what they want to hear rather than what they need to hear is dishonest and hazardous to the audience. Only people totally lacking in character do that. The common name for them is “politicians.”
Whenever you compare someone to Hitler people dismiss it out of hand as preposterous. Hitler was a man who had multiple characteristics. He caused the deaths of about 43 million people. You don’t have to be an identical clone of Hitler to trigger concern that you possess too many of his attributes.
Obama is different in some ways. For example, Hitler was a German soldier in World War I. Obama never served in the military. Hitler also was in jail as a political prisoner for various “community organizing” efforts that went too far. Obama never went to jail.
Jews also often object to comparisons with Hitler. I do not diminish the world’s horror of the Holocaust, but Hitler, as I said above, killed 43 million people, not just 6 million Jews. My own birthday and age were determined by Hitler. My mom said I was born nine months to the day after my draftee father returned from World War II in Europe. We all must learn all the lessons of Hitler and those lessons go far beyond just his anti-Semitism.
There are a number of disquieting similarities.
| Characteristic | Obama | Hitler |
|---|---|---|
way achieved initial power |
democratic election in 2008 |
democratic election in 1932 |
age at election |
47 |
44 |
main political skill |
charismatic oratory |
charismatic oratory |
wrote autobiography (I find it disturbing evidence of Narcissistic personality disorder when non-celebrities in their thirties write autobiographies. Here is an article by one of the leading authorities on that disorder talking about Obama. Here are some of my favorite quotes from that article. They refer to the definition of narcissistic personality disorder, not just to Obama: In general, the narcissist always prefers show-off to substance. One of the most effective methods of exposing a narcissist is by trying to delve deeper. The narcissist is shallow, a pond pretending to be an ocean. He likes to think of himself as a Renaissance man, a Jack of all trades. The narcissist never admits to ignorance in any field – yet, typically, he is ignorant of them all. It is surprisingly easy to penetrate the gloss and the veneer of the narcissist's self-proclaimed omniscience. Narcissistic leadership often poses as a rebellion against the "old ways" - against the hegemonic culture, the upper classes, the established religions, the superpowers, the corrupt order. The narcissistic leader prefers the sparkle and glamour of well-orchestrated illusions to the tedium and method of real accomplishments. His reign is all smoke and mirrors, devoid of substances, consisting of mere appearances and mass delusions.) A reader alerted me to an interesting YouTube where a psychiatrist recites chapter and verse of many of Obama’s narcissism symptoms. The psychiatrist used the adjective “psychotic” to describe Obama’s narcissism have been using the word sociopathic. But then I am not a psychiatrist. |
Dreams from my Father at age 34 | Mein Kampf at age 36 |
aspired to |
leadership of the world |
leadership of the world |
favorite scapegoats |
big corporations, greedy businessmen |
greedy Jews |
pre-chief-of-state adult life employment |
totally devoted to politics after about age 26 |
totally devoted to politics after about age 30 |
use of racial appeal to achieve power |
black |
Aryan |
associates |
anti-white and anti-Semitic South Side of Chicago leaders |
anti-Semites |
self-image |
“We are the ones we have been waiting for,” change everything, etc. |
became convinced the purpose of his life was to "save Germany" |
conditions at time of election (not the candidate’s fault, but can result in extreme candidates being elected) |
stock market crash, worldwide economic turmoil, possible depression, two wars |
stock market crash, worldwide economic turmoil, depression, hyperinflation in Germany |
economic philosophy (socialism requires dictatorship or a high degree government control of economic activity) |
socialist (“spread the wealth,” calling socialism “sharing” and capitalism “selfish,” federal universal health care, government handouts to 95% of adults, lengthy criticism of U.S. Constitution’s lack of “economic justice” in TV interview) |
socialist (official full name of Nazi party was National Socialist German Workers Party) |
innovative campaign tactics |
first to make extreme use of Internet |
first to campaign by aircraft |
free speech |
wants to reimpose “fairness doctrine” |
made criticism of government officials illegal |
pertinent training to be head of country |
law school |
German Army basic training |
pertinent experience to be head of country |
speaking to community gatherings and training activists, political legal work, part-time state senator (U.S. senator in name but mostly campaiging for president while in that job) |
political party executive, speech maker, then leader |
new, extra-constitutional supplementary security forces |
Obama at 7/2/08 speech: “We cannot continue to rely on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives that we've set. We've got to have a civilian national security force that's just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded.” "People of all ages, stations, and skills will be asked to serve." Two apparently self-appointed black men in black uniforms, black combat boots and berets, one carrying a billy club, posted themselves at a Philadelphia polling place. They claimed they were “security,” but cited no affilitation with any authority. They tried to make a Fox TV camerman leave. Many suspect they were there to intimidate whites from voting at that polling place. Here are the police approaching them. Two TV clips appeared during the campaign. One show elementary school children singing a song about the wonderfulness of Obama. Another featured black teenagers in military boots, camouflage pants, and black t-shirts holding their forearms in front of their chest in a self-fist-bump behaving like paramilitary force members barking commands and sentiments expressing admiration for Obama. The former looked like somehing the North Koreans would do. The latter looked like Hitler Youth. HERE is the Obama Children video juxtaposed with Hitler Youth films by someone on the Internet. It ends with a photo of Obama in Africa the relevance of which I do not know. |
• Ordnertruppen former military and local thug security guards to protect Nazi rallies from disruption |
| use of the Big Lie technique—
The Big Lie (German: Große Lüge) is a propaganda technique. It was defined by Adolf Hitler in his 1925 autobiography Mein Kampf as a lie so "colossal" that no one would believe that someone "could have the impudence to distort the truth so infamously." The OSS (predecessor of the CIA) analysis was: His primary rules were: never allow the public to cool off; never admit a fault or wrong; never concede that there may be some good in your enemy; never leave room for alternatives; never accept blame; concentrate on one enemy at a time and blame him for everything that goes wrong; people will believe a big lie sooner than a little one; and if you repeat it frequently enough people will sooner or later believe it. |
Examples: In between signing the most fiscally irresponsible laws in the history of the universe (“stimulus” and the 8,500-earmarks bill) Obama held a Fiscal Responsibility Summit. Also, claiming there was no pork or earmarks in the “stimulus” bill, no lobbyists in his administration, etc. Whether he would meet with Ahmadinejad without pre-conditions. In July of 2007, Barack Obama was asked by a video questioner: “Would you be willing to meet separately, without precondition, during the first year of your administration, in Washington or anywhere else, with the leaders of Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Cuba and North Korea?…..” “I would,” he answered. Then, when he was attacked for that position, he denied it. But, A visit to barrackobama.com said the exact opposite, however. “Obama supports tough, direct presidential diplomacy with Iran without preconditions.” After 20 years of close associations with Reverned Wright swore he was not aware of Wright’s hatred of whites or America. Promises free health care, free college, tax cuts for 98%, stopping global warming, energy independence, no change in social security, medicare, or medicaid and reducing the deficit In his budget speech in Febuary, 2009, Obama angrily vowed that he would not put a big debt on America’s children and grandchildren, which is exactly what he had just done by quintupling the already-too-high deficit. It reminded me of Clinton swearing “I did not have sexual relations with that woman, Ms. Lewinsky.” |
Jews are to blame for everything that’s wrong in the world. Jews are treated well in the Third Reih. No intention to invade Czechoslovakia. No intention to invade Soviet Union. The source of Big Lie technique, from Chapter 10 of Hitler’s autobiography Mein Kampf: ... in the big lie there is always a certain force of credibility; because the broad masses of a nation are always more easily corrupted in the deeper strata of their emotional nature than consciously or voluntarily; and thus in the primitive simplicity of their minds they more readily fall victims to the big lie than the small lie, since they themselves often tell small lies in little matters but would be ashamed to resort to large-scale falsehoods. It would never come into their heads to fabricate colossal untruths, and they would not believe that others could have the impudence to distort the truth so infamously. Even though the facts which prove this to be so may be brought clearly to their minds, they will still doubt and waver and will continue to think that there may be some other explanation. For the grossly impudent lie always leaves traces behind it, even after it has been nailed down, a fact which is known to all expert liars in this world and to all who conspire together in the art of lying. |
Here is an email I got from a reader about this:
I haven't been or your site in a while and I was pleased to see the articles comparing Obama to Hitler. I am a quasi-expert on Hitler and the Nazi party and I have been comparing Obama to Hitler for a while now. During the inaurguration I actually broke out Albert Speer's memoir 'Inside the Third Reich' and held the pictures of the Nuremburg party rallies right next to my television screen. It was uncanny. Thank you for having the balls to say what needs to be said.
To be sure, there are also many differences. But I say we need to keep a close eye on this guy, especially in a time of extreme financial crisis and/or war because leaders, including FDR, use such circumstances to try to grab additional, unconstitutional amounts of power. Recall that FDR, after being stopped by the U.S. Supreme Court, tried to expand the number of justices from nine to 15 (called court packing) through the Judiciary Reorganization Bill of 1937 which was defeated.
Here is an email that was going around on the Hitler-Obama comparison. I do not know who wrote it.
Subject: Who am I ???
*Who am I?
- I was born in one country, raised in another. My father was born in another country. I was not his only child. He fathered several children with numerous women.
- I became very close to my mother, as my father showed no interest in me. My mother died at an early age from cancer.
- Later in life, questions arose over my real name.
- My birth records were sketchy and no one was able to produce a legitimate, reliable birth certificate.
- I grew up practicing one faith but converted to Christianity, as it was widely accepted in my country, but I practiced non-traditional beliefs & didn't follow Christianity, except in the public eye under scrutiny.
- I worked and lived among lower-class people as a young adult, disguising myself as someone who really cared about them.
- That was before I decided it was time to get serious about my life and I embarked on a new career.
- I wrote a book about my struggles growing up. It was clear to those who read my memoirs that I had difficulties accepting that my father abandoned me as a child.
- I became active in local politics in my 30's then with help behind the scenes, I literally burst onto the scene as a candidate for national office in my 40s. They said I had a golden tongue and could talk anyone into anything. That reinforced my conceit.
- I had a virtually non-existent resume, little work history, and no experience in leading a single organization. Yet I was a powerful speaker and citizens were drawn to me as though I were a magnet and they were small roofing tacks.
- I drew incredibly large crowds during my public appearances. This bolstered my ego.
- At first, my political campaign focused on my country's foreign policy...... I was very critical of my country in the last war and seized every opportunity to bash my country.
- But what launched my rise to national prominence were my views on the country's economy. I pretended to have a really good plan on how we could do better and every poor person would be fed & housed for free.
- I knew which group was responsible for getting us into this mess. It was the free market, banks & corporations. I decided to start making citizens hate them and if they were envious of others who did well, the plan was clinched tight.
- I called mine "A People's Campaign" and that sounded good to all people.
- I was the surprise candidate because I emerged from outside the traditional path of politics & was able to gain widespread popular support.
- I knew that, if I merely offered the people 'hope' , together we could change our country and the world.
- So, I started to make my speeches sound like they were on behalf of the downtrodden, poor, ignorant to include "persecuted minorities" like the Jews. My true views were not widely known & I needed to keep them unknown, until after I became my nation's leader.
- I had to carefully guard reality, as anybody could have easily found out what I really believed, if they had simply read my writings and examined those people I associated with.
- I'm glad they didn't. Then I became the most powerful man in the world. And the world learned the truth.
ADOLF HITLER
WHO WERE YOU THINKING OF?
Scary isn't it?
I note that although this list of similarities is longer than mine, many of its entries are irrelevant like his father getting multiple women pregnant.
I also see similarities between Obama and the Pope. I said we should be mildly encouraged that he did not ask for the Nazi Nuremberg rally site to speak when he was in Germany. Add the Lincoln Memorial and National Mall and St. Peter’s Square to that list. The Pope also has a worldwide leadership vision.
Keep an eye on his approach to the Inauguration. There is a traditional site and scope. Will they be enough for The Messiah? (See Wikipedia messianic complex article. Wikipedia also has this definition of a God complex: “A God complex is a state of mind in which a person believes that they have supernatural powers or god-like abilities. The person generally believes they are above the rules of society and should be given special consideration.”)
Oprah once introduced Obama as “The One.” If anyone ever did that to me, I would shoot back, “The One What?” Obama did not. He just basks in that sort of cult-of-personality adulation. Why? He agrees with it! He also believes he is “The One.” Not only does he believe he is the Great Half-Black Hope, he believes he is the savior of the whole world and people of all colors. Like I said above: megalomaniac. Those who say I’m wrong are secretly afraid that I am right.
Like I said this guy needs to be watched closely for more evidence of these psychiatric disorders.
If he starts saying things like
• “state of emergency”
• “martial law”
• “suspend habeas corpus”
• “president for life”
• “Fairness Doctrine”
Cling to your Constitution and Bill of Rights. Actually, do more than that. Go out into the streets and demand his impeachment and convicction.
After every election, the winners talk about bipartisanship. It’s bullshit. There will be no bipartisanship. Why should there be? The Dems have both houses of Congress and the White House by a large margin. They will ignore the Republicans other than to laugh at them.
I said above that Obama might be pragmatic like Clinton was. But no one knows him. He may really be the ideologue that he claimed to be in the promises he made during the campaign.
If he is an ideologue, look out! He has the allies in the Congress to pass the socialist workers party platform. I read somewhere that the New Deal was largely a copy of the Socialist Party platform from the turn of the century.
Many figure that if the Democrats turn America into a socialist country like Western Europe, the voters will throw them out and the Republicans will take charge and fix it.
It is likely that the Republicans or another party that replaces them will retake control in the future. Incumbency and party control seems to corrupt politicians so much more than normal that even the voters who elected the scum bags can no longer stand the stench.
But, one must not forget the ratchet (movement only in one direction permitted) or fishhook (easy to go in but extremely hard to pull out) nature of government programs. FDR started social security in the 1920s. Republicans opposed it. Arguably, the Republicans were right. In recent decades, we have heard again and again that social security will bankrupt the country. But Americans have become addicted to social security and Republicans are terrified to suggest even the slightest change in it—thereby increasing the probability that it will bankrupt the country.
The hated teachers unions, one of the most evil and destructive forces in America, got Democrat president Carter to create the Department of Education in 1979. Ronald Reagan replaced Carter in 1981, having run on a promise to shut down the Department of Education. He was not able to. It is still there.
Once government programs have significant numbers of employees and recipients of benefits, it is extremely hard to get rid of them because both the employees and recipients fight like cornered animals to preserve their place at the public trough.
The far, hard left bought the presidency for Obama. They will expect pay back for their $88 million. If they do not get it, they will raise more money to destroy him. Hell hath no fury like a leftist scorned by his bought-and-paid-for politician. They are political suicide bombers—secular jihadists when it comes to their views. Obama is almost totally dependent upon them for non-lobbyist money and he made not associating with lobbyists one of his most-bragged-about virtues. He desperately needs moveon.org to get re-elected. I do not know him. But I know he wants to be re-elected.
To resist that, Obama will need more political courage than he has ever shown in his 47 years. One of his own allies, a Democrat congressman said that he associated with Wright et al in Chicago because he lacked the political courage to walk away from them when he still hoped for a political career in the South Side of Chicago. Don’t hold your breath waiting for Obama to show the courage he has never before in his life exhibited.
Then there are federal judge appointments.They are appointed for life. With majorities in Congress and the White House, the Dems can install many, many federal judges who see the constitution the way Obama said he does, that is, as a bad document that needs to be ignored or reinterpreted in socialist ways. During the Bush administration, Dems prevented him from filling vacancies in the hope that they would win the White House and Congress in 2008. They did, now they will fill not only the vacancies that Obama would normally see, but also the Bush vacancies that they Dems refused to fill in the last eight years. Depending on how long they hold this control and the decisions and health of the Supreme Court justices, Obama may also change the Supreme Court 180 degrees.
America voted for change in the abstract. It is unlikely that our center right citizens will like the sort of change that Democrat politician judges will deliver to them. And little or nothing can be done about federal judges for a generation.
The Dems are the party of illegal immigrants. They strengthen their power by letting as many illegals in as possible then give them amnesty so they can vote. Republicans try to kiss up to them. To no avail. They voted for Obama. Now the Dems will grant amnesty to the 12 million currently here and encourage more to come in. That will make it harder for Republicans to get back in power until the immigrants switch to the Republicans. That may seem unlikely, but if you look at the history of American politics, lots of unlikely things eventually happen, including electing a half-black man president.
I often commented that Obama seemed to be black first and American second—perhaps overcompensation to overcome the “curse” of having a white mother.
Will he now use the presidency to advance the black imagined and ancient grievance agenda—like reparations?
I don’t know. We do not know him. No one does.
He did quickly name a white guy as chief of staff, and immediately was criticized be the Congressional Black Caucus who thought a black president should have given that job to a black person.
The Black Caucus, which once refused membership to a white congressman who represented a majority black district because of his skin color, can kiss my ass. The mere existence of the Black Caucus is a racist outrage. Try starting a White Caucus.
I hope Obama continues to ignore their clamor for special favors and preferential treatment. I do not object to Obama giving a job to a black when that person is the best qualified, but only then. If he seems to be using the White House for black, affirmative action, political patronage or a sort of “my people” nepotism, he can kiss my ass. I expect the American people, whose non-black percentage is similar to Obama’s percentage of the black vote—90% ish—will run him out of there in 2012 if he uses the White House to advance the Reverend Jeremiah Wright “God Damn America” agenda.
America is a one-man-one-vote country. Obama won that on 11/4/08. But to be re-elected, he must also win the “votes” of the worldwide financial markets. George Bush and his party mate McCain did not. That market is NOT one-man-one-vote. It is one-dollar-one-vote.
The people who own those dollars will not be “voting” for a man who denounced NAFTA, big corporations, low taxes, unregulated executive compensation, oil companies, greed, and who advocated raising both income and capital gains taxes. To win those “votes,” Obama has to back away from all that and do so promptly and convincingly. If he does anything remotely resembling that, his leftist supporters will go nuts. Welcome to the NFL, rookie.
To hear the right tell it, Obama will destroy the country with his tax polices. Is that true?
Probably not.
I am currently writing a book about real estate investment. It does not yet have a title. Roughly speaking, it is a very sophisticated version of the basics of real estate investing. Around the time of the 2008 election, I was working on a chapter about the history of real estate investment. That chapter includes a history of the maximum tax rates since the Internal Revenue Code began in 1916, the amount of income needed to require those tax rates, and the maximum long-term capital gains tax rates. A great source was the Citizens for Tax Justice Web site which has those exact historical numbers at http://74.125.95.104/search?q=cache:hQkLWctTKqwJ:www.ctj.org/pdf/regcg.pdf+citizens+for+tax+justice+historical+income+tax+rates&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1&gl=us.
Some highlights of that table: As recently as 1986—during the Reagan Administration—the maximum ordinary income rate was 50% and you only had to make $215,400 to trigger that rate. In 1981, at the end of the Carter Administration, that same amount of income triggered a 70% tax rate.
As recently as 1978—during the Carter Administration—the max capital gains rate was 39.9% and that applied to all capital gains no matter how big, like an ordinary worker’s profits on the sale of his vacation home or a $500 gain generated by his mutual fund selling some stocks.
As you will see there, the current max rate is about 35% on ordinary income and about 15% on long-term capital gains. Obama has talked about raising the maximum ordinary rate 5% or 10% and raising the capital gain rate to 20% to 28%. As you can also see there, the proposed Obama rates are rather moderate by historical standards and not much different from the Bush rates. The world-coming-to-an-end wailing of Hannity et al fails to put the proposed tax rates into proper perspective.
However, it is also true that raising tax rates discourages the things that are taxed, namely capital gains, business profits, and salaries. People who are the targets of tax increases generally modify their behavior to avoid the new taxes entirely or at least to minimize their impact.
One common effect of higher capital gains tax rates is to delay selling assets that have gains until the tax rate goes back down. That interferes with the normal workings of the marketplace and dramatically reduces government tax revenues. Roughly speaking, Dems are the party who tax the shit out of capital gains, thereby causing investors not to recognize any (sell the asset and thereby trigger the tax). Then Republicans come in, lower the rate, and reap a bonanza of tax revenue from the pent-up desire to sell the assets.
Democrats are generally stupid and this is one of their behavior patterns that shows it. (Don’t bother asking me to prove that. You’ll wish you didn’t. The evidence is substantial and embarrassing.) George Stephanopolis and Charles Gibson tried to explain this repeatedly to Obama during a presidential primary debate but he either could not comprehend what they were telling him or he figured his supporters were too dumb to understand it, so he came up with “justice” as a justification for raising the capital gains rates and thereby reducing federal government tax revenue. In addition to being called stupid, it is also called cutting off your tax revenue to spite Republican voters.
Raising the maximum tax rate on ordinary-income causes actions like the following: U.S. and corporate bonds are sold and the proceeds are put into so-called “municipal” bonds. Actually, that category includes state, county, municipal, and other sub-federal bonds. Generally, the interest on such bonds is tax-free. Here is an article that explains some of the nitty gritty details of that.
Putting more into 401(k), IRAs, and other pension plans defers interest and gains from federal income tax until retirement. Although Dems have recently spoke of ending or nationalizing such pension plans.
People can also simply stop working if they can afford it. Some will say “Screw Obama! If he is going to take that much of my income, I won’t earn that much any more.” That also may be cutting off your nose to spite your face, but people are pissed about his “spreading the wealth around” goal. Many will refuse to work under Obama’s tax rates or will work less to stay under them.
There are also ways to make a living tax free, like working in the underground economy, e.g., drug dealers. Or you can create home value by buying a home real cheap or upgrading a home. That increases your net worth, but it is tax free. To get the money, you can sell once every five years under IRC §121 and $250,000 per spouse of the gain is tax free. Then you can do it again and again every five years. (Bill Clinton signed that into law.) The higher Obama pushes tax rates, the more people will do stuff like that to avoid paying those tax rates.
Generally, every percent Obama increases the ordinary and/or capital gains tax rates will hurt the economy by discouraging people from taking actions that will trigger the higher taxes. It will also paradoxically lower the revenue to the government—again, beyond the mental comprehension of the typical Dem voter—thereby increasing the deficit, national debt, and interest amounts paid by taxpayers and consumers. (Consumer borrowing like home mortgages and car loans competes with the U.S. government for loan/bond money. The more the government needs to borrow, the higher the interest rates that the government and consumers will have to pay for their borrowed money.)
Will Obama and his Dem allies ruin the U.S. economy with tax increases? It’s possible. It depends on how high he raises them and on whom. It also depends on whether he does other stuff that hurts the economy like enact protectionist laws.
The public thinks the Republicans caused the Great Depression and FDR’s various interventions ended it. Not so. The 1929 crash was caused by similar things as now. Too much borrowing and gambling in the securities markets driving up prices too high. But the Depression was not caused by the crash. It was caused by the Smoot-Hawley Tariff, overly tight Federal Reserve policies, and too much government intervention in the marketplace.
World War II, that is Adolf Hitler and Tojo, ended the Depression. FDR’s policies deepened and prolonged what would have been just a stock-market-induced recession. Obama already promised protectionism in Ohio saying he would renegotiate NAFTA (that’s illegal) and in his vote against reducing tariffs on goods from Colombia. Dems love tariffs because, again, they are not very bright and have a lot of union members (there’s some of that evidence I mentioned) who erroneously believe imports are net worse for American wages and jobs. In fact, international trade has been the best part of the economy in the early months of 2008.
For a personal example of the value of international trade, stop wearing any clothes you own that say “Made in Somewhere Other Than The U.S.” Stop watching TVs made outside the U.S. Stop driving any cars you own that are not GM, Ford, or Chrysler. When you call a company and hear an Indian or Pakistani accent, hang up. And so on. The not-importing ship sailed long ago. Protectionism is not an option and enacting it will kill us worse than during the Great Depression because international trade is far more important now than it was then.
Warning: Dems don’t call it “protectionism.” They call it “fair trade.” Same thing with spin. Free trade is the best way and that means no tariffs even if your trading partners impose tariffs on your goods. Tariffs punish the consumers in the country that enacts them in order to protect a few residents of the country in question and help the local politicians stay in office. The fact that another country punishes their citizens by making it more expensive for them to purchase American goods is no reason for us to treat our citizens so stupidly and unjustly. True, we would be better off with two-way free trade. But one-way free trade is better for us than no trade at all, which is what “fair trade” leads to as each country retaliates against the other until all trade is cut off.
By the way, so-called “energy independence” is a form of policy against imports. If Obama pursues policies designed to reduce imports of a product called oil or gas, he will worsen our economy. We import oil and gas because the alternatives are much more expensive especially liberal fantasies like wind, bio fuels, solar, which are not even close to cost effective and are not likely to be even after Obama spends $150 billion taxpayer dollars trying to make them economical. See my article on that and my article on gasoline prices.
Global warming is a hoax. 60% of British people have figured it out. The U.S. won’t be far behind. Spending money to try to stop it would be economic suicide. Obama wants to do that. I expect the American people will stop the day they realize they have to pay significantly more in taxes and/or for goods and services to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. See my article on that.
If Obama and his Dem allies enact protectionist laws and higher tax rates and intervene in the economy like FDR, it could well have the same effect—deepening and prolonging the recession until it becomes a Depression that lasts until the next world war. (World War II cost a total of 62 million lives. It’s a very expensive way to get rid of dopey policies.)
Obama’s economic advisors are going to tell him that raising taxes, enacting protectionist laws, and intervening in the economy will make the economy worse and get him thrown out of office in 2012, if not before. They will recommend lowering taxes, cutting spending, expanding free trade. Obama will say, “But you are telling me to continue the failed Bush policies, to do what McCain said he would do!” Yes, Barack. The campaign is over and so is campaign bullshit. Now you really have to run the economy and the Republican policies are the correct ones.
Barack: “How can I explain that to the American people without my looking bad?”
Economic advisors: “We don’t know Barack. If you’ll recall. we told you the same thing during the campaign but you rejected it because your campaign manager David Axelrod told you it would hurt you politically if you agreed with Bush on economic policy. We are telling you it will hurt you now politically if you do not follow the Republican policies because the economy will tank, you will get blamed, and the voters will ride you out of town on a rail.”
His first appointed “economic advisor” is the former governor of Michigan. That’s right. I said Michigan. Home of dying government-bail-out-receiving GM, Ford, and Chrysler and a dreary urbanscape of burned-out factories and cities. If you are not familiar with it, watch Michael Moore’s Roger and me. He blames the management of GM for the closed factories you see in the movie. I blame the United Auto Workers union and the Michigan governors who pandered to them. There are many succcessful car companies in the U.S.—all non-union, foreign-owned in the non-union American South and West. Apparently, in his me-getting-and-keeping-power-is-all-that-matters view of the world, Obama has concluded that turning the U.S. into Michigan will get him re-elected.
Some have said Obama is pragmatic, not ideological. In fact, we don’t know that. The guy is cryptic. We can only hope he is pragmatic like Clinton.
Dems in Congress want to bring back the “Fairness Doctrine.” Obama supports media-ownership caps, network neutrality, public broadcasting, as well as increasing minority ownership of broadcasting and print outlets. In other words, he wants not to force a conservative talk radio station to let Harry Reid have three hours to match Rush Limbaugh’s program. Obama wants to force the owners of the conservative talk radio station to sell the station to a black guy or to NPR. In other words, Obama wants affirmative action racial quotas and political view quotas .for ownership of media outlets
It arose when there were few radio and TV channels. When I was a kid in the 1950s, there were only three TV channels: ABC, CBS, and NBC. There was also only AM radio. Politically, the stations were all neutral. They all had to get their licenses renewed annually from the government so they were afraid to broadcast anything controversial for fear the government bureaucrats would not renew their licenses. The bureaucrats set up the “Fairness Doctrine”—which was FCC policy not law—to encourage stations to cover controversial issues but to save the bureaucrats from getting grief from the public about it by requiring the stations to present “both” sides. I put both in quotation marks because there are often more than two sides and—in the case of profoundly stupid policies like rent control and protectionism—there is consensus among honest experts that there is only one correct side. Only demagogues and ignorant laymen favor rent control or protectionism. Also, back then, controversial issues would be presented in 30- or 60-second spots, rarely as entire programs.
A mini-“Fairness Doctrine” of sorts has arisen in recent years with regard to the President’s regular Saturday radio broadcasts and his televised speeches. The out-of-power party in provided free air time to match the free time given to the in-power party. Neither I nor any other person opposes that.
The problem is forcing conservative talk radio stations to provide half their air time for free to liberals who tried and failed to attract audiences in recent years, in spite of being backed and subsidized by rich leftists like George Soros. This would cut the profits of those outlets approximately in half and would likely force many of them to music or news formats.
The reasons why the left cannot attract audiences (they do in my home area of San Francisco, e.g., KGO—we also have KSFO which is conservative) are multiple. Winston Churchill said,
If a man is not a liberal when he is 20, he has no heart. If he is not a conservative when he is 40, he has no brain.
20-year olds no longer listen to AM radio or read newspapers. 40-year olds do. The media for the young is the Internet and TV, which are primarily liberal. Across the entire media spectrum, there is balance. Insisting the liberal views be on AM radio is like forcing young people to buy Depends or that old people listen to hip-hop stations. Since the government is not going to prevent listeners from changing channels or force them to buy products of those who advertise during a Janeane Garafalo rant, the opposing views would be heard by almost no one. So the “Fairness Doctrine” is just a way of shutting up critics of the party in power.
If Congress were today to try to impose the “Fairness Doctrine,” the stations and public should rise up and refuse to comply with the law like the Alien and Sedition Act. Force Obama to send armed men to break down the doors of the radio stations in front of TV cameras.
Other than in the context of a game with a rule book, the word “fair” tells you that a politician or con man is about to lie to you. That applies to “Fair Trade” as well as the “Fairness Doctrine.” Both the “Fairness Doctrine” and forcing media companies to sell to blacks and/or liberals are further manifestations of Obama’s megalomania.
To be continued